The 2025 MLS season won't end quite how a half-dozen Eastern Conference clubs had planned back in February. Though as of publication, we don’t know exactly which half-dozen.
Two spots are left for FC Dallas, Real Salt Lake, the Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes. That means two of those teams will see their vacations start on Sunday, and we will add their post-mortems after the Audi 2025 MLS Cup Playoffs field is finalized.
But we know of four for sure at this point, and we’ll examine them now. In we go.
NOTE: Colorado and San Jose were added following their elimination from playoff contention on Decision Day.
2025 in a nutshell
It was a step backwards in almost every way.
The Rapids went from 50 points to 41, from seventh in the West to 11th, from in the playoffs to out of them. None of this was a misrepresentation of who they were as a club over these two years: in 2024, they had a +5.7 xGD for the entire season, while in 2025, they were -5.8.
The simple fact is that they couldn't replace Moïse Bombito’s ability to cover in behind when the team was pressing high, and head coach Chris Armas never quite figured out the structure for stopping the ball through midfield. So there was a lot of transition play, and Zack Steffen made a lot of great saves.
But that’s no way to punch your ticket to the postseason.
Along the way, they sold Djordje Mihailovic, their excellent No. 10. Though I think everyone was pleased with the ambition the team showed in bringing in Paxten Aaronson as a replacement (even if Aaronson wasn’t quite as effective in the final third as everyone had hoped).
What comes next?
The status of Armas is up in the air, as was made clear during a contentious postgame press conference following a 2-2 Decision Day draw that saw the Rapids eliminated on almost the final kick of the year.
I suspect we’ll know, one way or another, in the coming days.
What to watch for this winter
My guess is that Rafael Navarro, who drew significant interest from several Brazilian clubs this summer, is sold in the winter for probably around the same number that Djordje went for. That’s not the kind of business MLS teams say “no” to.
I also think there will be some declined options followed by a real commitment to rebuilding the central defense. That should most likely include developing players from within, but also, bear in mind that nobody’s been more aggressive about shopping within the league than the Rapids over the past few years, and guys like Walker Zimmerman and Justin Haak are slated to be free agents. Both have got to be on Colorado’s radar.
Player I’m excited for
Darren Yapi went from two league goals in about 750 minutes last year to eight in 1,433 this year. That’s real progress, and by the end of the year, he was even scoring true No. 9’s goals like the one he buried on Decision Day against LAFC.
Non-zero chance, I think, that Yapi’s given an opportunity to win the starting job.
Notes
- Aaronson pointed out that he played deeper in the Eredivisie than how he was used upon his arrival in Colorado. I wonder if that will play into the offseason decision-making.
- What level of belief do they have in young wingers Ted Ku-DiPietro, Alex Harris, Alexis Manyoma and Kimani Stewart-Baynes? That could determine a lot about what they go shopping for when the window opens.
2025 in a nutshell
If, before the season started, you’d offered Quakes fans a 20-point improvement over last year’s Wooden Spoon-winning side, some development of potential-laden young players, underlying numbers that put them in the top five in the West and a place in the playoff fight that went down to the very last day of the season… I mean, I think most would’ve taken that.
It was not a great year for the Quakes, but it was a great step forward from who they’ve been since 2012. Bruce Arena was understandably steamed that they missed the playoffs – they should’ve made it. But this team is clearly headed in the right direction.
What comes next?
A bunch of money coming off the cap. Arena’s got the reins now and chances are that a lot of guys who predate him in San Jose – almost all of whom were given significant minutes and significant chances to impress this year – will not be back. We’re talking millions off the cap, as many as 10 senior roster slots and a bunch of international roster slots as well.
I don’t think they’ll tear it down to the studs because there’s obviously a good core here. But we should all still expect some major surgery to be performed.
What to watch for this winter
Is Niko Tsakiris the guy? He was awesome as a No. 10 with the US U-20s, and then came back to the Quakes and got on for the final 20 minutes of their Decision Day matchup with Austin, where he banged home the winning goal on a direct free kick.
Tsakiris is a McGlynn/Diego Luna/Mihailovic-caliber talent and fits an obvious need for the Quakes. Will Bruce trust him enough to start next year, or recruit over him this winter?
If it’s that second thing, then I hope the Quakes are willing to sell him within the league.
Player I’m excited for
Besides Tsakiris, you mean?
I’m going to go way off the board and pick Reid Roberts, the fifth overall pick in last year’s SuperDraft. Some real shades of Tim Ream in his game (including an unfortunate propensity for big, game-changing errors – something it took Ream a little while to flush out of his system).
Arena’s never been one for young attackers but has worked wonders with young CBs before, going back to Eddie Pope in 1996.
Notes
- Daniel has a guaranteed contract for 2026, but with the way the year went I’d be kind of shocked if he was back, which means they’ll be shopping for a goalkeeper this winter.
- I still think they were smart to pick up Noel Buck on the cheap, even if he looks nothing like the guy he was in 2023. Hopefully, he rediscovers his form.
- How much does Josef Martínez have left? His contract’s not guaranteed, and it’s a big number. He still scores goals, but doesn’t do much else these days.
2025 in a nutshell
Houston were up against it from the start after an offseason exodus saw them lose their two best midfielders and, right before the season started, their best center back. This came after parting ways with their goalkeeper and… yeah. It was a lot to try to account for.
And they never really did. Just when they seemed to be figuring it out (10 points from four pretty tough games in May), they took just two wins from the subsequent 11, and never really came up for air again.
What comes next?
Big changes. I count 10 on their senior roster – basically half the senior roster – either looking at a team option or out of contract entirely. Right back Griffin Dorsey, who’s been one of the team’s better players over the past few seasons, said point-blank that there haven’t been any contract discussions, and I doubt he’s the only one in that boat.
They can open up two Designated Player slots and at least one U22 Initiative slot, and that’s before considering any creative uses of buyouts or potential player sales.
It should be busy. You don’t have a year like this, then let it not be busy.
What to watch for this winter
Is someone going to come in and make them an offer they can’t refuse for DP No. 9 Ezequiel Ponce?
The Argentine has been mid, with just nine non-PK goals this season and underlying numbers that put him at about the 50th percentile among all center forwards for xG+xA per 90. I know there was some interest in him overseas last winter, but nothing came of it. Maybe this time around.
The other big one is Artur’s option. It’s expensive, but he’s still excellent and is just turning 30. I hope they keep him around.
Player I’m excited for
Lawrence Ennali is in the 72nd percentile among all wingers in npxG/90 and the 70th percentile in xA/90 while coming off a bad ACL tear. Can’t wait to see what he looks like when fully fit next season.
Notes
- Jack McGlynn was a steal for this team last winter, which makes me wonder if they’ll do more intra-league shopping rather than looking overseas. Between McGlynn, Artur and Dorsey – all guys acquired from within MLS – their hit rate is much higher than on imports.
- They have two young goalkeepers whose underlying numbers suggest they’re future starters, and given the way Jonathan Bond has performed this year, the future should be now.
2025 in a nutshell
Olof Mellberg was as far over his head as an MLS coach as almost anyone I’ve ever seen in this league, and I’ve been watching from day one. He said his goal was to fix the defense, and you could kind of see it, even when it came with a broken offense. But both were broken by five matchdays, and he was out of a job by late May.
David Critchley’s been in charge on an interim basis since then, and while they’ve been both better and more fun to watch, they never put together any semblance of a playoff push.
What comes next?
Hiring a new CSO. Lutz Pfannenstiel appointed Mellberg, and was shown the door almost immediately after the summer transfer window – during which he was allowed to fill St. Louis’ last two premium roster slots, which… weird, but ok I guess – and has yet to be replaced.
I’ve got to assume they’ve done a pretty thorough search by now. Maybe that ends with current technical director John Hackworth getting the bump up, or maybe it ends with club president and GM Diego Gigliani adding CSO to his collection of titles.
Or maybe it’s just someone totally new. Whatever the case, it’d be unwise to make big decisions (on the roster, coach, or game model) until that guy is in place.
What to watch for this winter
They have an option on No. 9 João Klauss, who has not lived up to his DP tag. Now, they can bring him back as a non-DP even if they trigger the option, but… I don’t know. That’s an expensive option to exercise for such a streaky goalscorer.
The decision they’ve got to make on goalkeeper Roman Bürki is easy: they’ve got to figure out how to keep him. He’s been the team’s best player since they entered the league in 2023, and while he hasn’t been quite as outstanding this year as the previous two, there remains little question about his overall value.
Player I’m excited for
Rather than one player, it’s more of a whole era I’m into. The idea of St. Louis finally creating a pathway to promote from within… I mean, they’re sitting on a gold mine. It’s one of the most reliable hotbeds of talent in all of North America.
Notes
- I imagine they’ll be listening to offers for Cedric Teuchert this winter! He's been maybe the most disappointing non-Mellberg part of an overall disappointing 2025.
- I’m really curious to see what happens with Henry Kessler’s option. He’s on a big number, but he’s been worth it when he’s been healthy. The problem is he’s only rarely been healthy.
2025 in a nutshell
You knew things would have to go really bad for Sporting KC’s ownership to cut ties with the legend Peter Vermes, and folks… that's exactly what happened. Vermes was on a shorter leash than anyone knew about and was dismissed before the calendar flipped to April.
Kerry Zavagnin has been in charge on an interim basis since then, and while Zavagnin’s gotten them to fight, their place in the standings is a pretty fair reflection of how they’ve performed overall.
What comes next?
The David Lee Era.
The former New York City FC sporting director was announced as Sporting’s new CSO earlier this month, and you didn’t have to read too far between the lines to understand his message was “I want to build a team my way, not the City Football Group way.” And with SKC's roster – so, so many players are out of contract this winter – he’ll get that chance.
Lee will, I’m assuming, recruit much more heavily from Latin America than Sporting traditionally have (it’s been a very European-inflected lineup for SKC over the past decade), and hopefully put a little more emphasis on the SuperDraft. NYCFC have had underrated success there, while SKC have had little since the early 2010s.
What to watch for this winter
A million contracts being declined. It’s entirely possible that Sporting bring back just five players from their senior roster, which… would be a little extreme. But honestly, when a team performs this poorly (they are by far the worst team in the league if you look at the advanced data), you can’t rule out a house-clearing of that magnitude.
I’d also expect them to be fairly busy in free agency. And it’s probably worth noting there are currently several compelling free-agents-to-be at Lee’s old club in The Bronx…
Player I’m excited for
Whether it’s at right back or right center back, it’s cool that 17-year-old academy kid Ian James has gotten good playing time down the stretch. I wonder where (if?) he’ll slot in next season.
Notes
- Two guys who are under contract for next year are DPs Dejan Joveljić and Manu García. I’d expect both to be foundational pieces moving forward.
- Should we expect the same for long-time Sporting winger Dániel Sallói? His contract is guaranteed for a good number next season, and I could see there being real interest around the league if Lee decides to shop him.
2025 in a nutshell
I will always remember where I was when I saw this team hold an opponent to zero shots – not shots on goal; zero shots, total!! – and lose 1-0 anyway.
Stunning. Just absolutely stunning.
The Galaxy from the first half of the season were quite possibly the worst team in MLS history. They certainly had the worst MLS Cup hangover in MLS history. They won one of their first 20 games across all competitions and didn’t win their first league game until June 1. Their playoff hopes were essentially extinguished by mid-April.
The Galaxy from the second half of the season have been pretty good! A 10W-8L-6D record with a +8 goal differential across all competitions since that first win, including a third-place finish in Leagues Cup (and the 2026 Concacaf Champions Cup invite that comes with it) as well as a pretty epic, if ultimately futile, Campeones Cup performance against a wagon of a Toluca team.
They’re basically a mid-table playoff team who forgot to come out of the locker room until summer.
What comes next?
Hopefully an offseason announcement that Riqui Puig is 100% healed with zero complications and ready to get back out into the heart of that midfield as soon as preseason begins in January.
Anything else on the list is dwarfed by that announcement.
What to watch for this winter
Believe it or not, they still don’t project to have all that much cap space heading into the offseason, but that’s mitigated by the fact that they’ve finally started developing talent from within. Chris Rindov, Elijah Wynder, Mauricio Cuevas and Harbor Miller are all going to play real minutes next year. They’ve all played huge roles in this second-half turnaround and should serve as clear proof to general manager Will Kuntz and head coach Greg Vanney that the guys you can develop internally are just as good (and often much better than) as guys you’d otherwise go out on the market and overpay for.
Still, though, they do need a center forward, and it shouldn't be Matheus Nascimento, the Brazilian who spent 2025 in Carson on loan and took up a U22 slot. As of now, that’s the only premium roster slot they’ll have available.
Player I’m excited for
I’m excited to watch Riqui play soccer again.
Notes
- They have a big contract option on Diego Fagúndez, and declining it is their most obvious way to generate real roster flexibility. Fagúndez has been valuable, though, so they’ve got a needle to thread here.
- They should be willing to use a contract buy-out this offseason, and – without being too mean about it – Zanka has made himself an obvious candidate for that, especially when combined with Rindov proving his ability to play high-level minutes.
